Perjanjian TPP tanpa USA, CPTPP, M'sia Dijangka Untung Besar...

dcruins

hmmmm, menarik gak ni...... kalau laaa ada US(TPP yg dia tak nak join) saiz kenaikan real income untuk semua member dalam US$465 billion, tanpa US dia kurang pii US$157 billion, boleh tahan gak laaaa kek ekonomi ni walaupun tanpa US, boleh laaa naik kan income negara2 member semua bersama-sama di masa depan.

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http://www.themalaymailonline.com/money/article/malaysia-biggest-winner-in-new-trans-pacific-trade-deal-says-moodys#QqEMYYH70CyikooH.97

Malaysia biggest winner in new Trans-Pacific trade deal, says Moody’s
Friday March 9, 2018



KUALA LUMPUR, March 9 ― Malaysia is likely to benefit the most from today’s new trade deal involving 11 countries on both sides of the Pacific Ocean, according to international ratings firm Moody’s Investors Service.

It pointed to analysis from the Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) that showed Malaysia nudging Vietnam from the top spot in the newly-inked Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), which replaced the previous Trans-Pacific Trade Partnership (TPP) after the US pulled out.

“Malaysia will be the biggest winner from CPTPP, according to the PIIE analysis.

“The deal will provide export access into new markets including Canada (Aaa stable), Peru (A3 stable) and Mexico (A3 negative), benefiting palm oil, rubber and electronics exporters,” Moody’s said in a statement.  

Based on PIIE information, Moody’s said the CPTPP will generate real income gains of US$157 billion for member countries, compared to US$465 billion from the original TPP.



It further remarked that the lost trade opportunities will be felt most in Vietnam, Malaysia and Japan “because these countries stood to gain the most from greater access to the US market given the scope of current trade agreements”.

Though Moody’s noted that the gains from the new deal will be smaller without the US, it said the agreement “will still boost exports and incomes for all members and help to sustain reform efforts in a number of countries, a credit positive”.

PIIE’s October 2017 data, which accompanied Moody’s statement, showed Malaysia will see a change of just over 3 per cent in real income under CPTPP from its 2030 baseline, the highest out of all 11 member nations.

Second highest is Singapore, with under 2 per cent change in real income.

The analysis noted that Malaysia is requesting more time to undertake reforms to bolster the commercial orientation of and competition among state owned enterprises and enhance government procurement procedures.

It pointed out that Malaysia needs to improve on its customs administration processes, mainly on its efficiency of customs clearing process so that it will make it easier to conduct trade.

dcruins

paling teruk kesan US merajuk tak nak ikut TPP, Singapura......tak perrr laaa, CPTPP nyerrr kek ekonomi masih cukup besar lagi, siap kiterrr dapat market baru macam Canada,Peru & Mexico....

dcruins

Nampak nyerrr kena upgrade lagi sistem customs kiterrr ni, kena lebih advanced sistem dia.....ada laaa exporter2 & importer tamak kiterrr yg berpeluh lepas ni....

dcruins

Patut laaa kemaruk sangat Singapura nak TPP yg ada Amerika tuuu, rupa nyerrr dia laaa antara paling untung kalau pact tu jadi, bakal untung gilerrr industri financial dia kalau TPP jadi, mengalah kan industri manufacturing negara member lain disebabkan status dia sebagai financial centre....

dcruins

Tapi ada ura2 gak US nak U-turn balik hari tuuu tentang TPP ni...

iloveselangor

USA tak join eh....so ringgit boleh kalahkan USD tak ni?

dcruins

iloveselangor replied at 10-3-2018 08:31 PM
USA tak join eh....so ringgit boleh kalahkan USD tak ni?

jauh nyerrr sampai kesitu.....

dcruins

ada forum temasek kat sebelah bincang tentang report ni hari tu, atas kertas mungkin Vietnam & Malaysia dilihat paling rugi sebab US tak join, tapi menurut warga temasek, kiterrr kena ingat, mereka tuuu financial centre yg banyak pegang client2 dari Amerika, kalau long run, mereka laaa yg paling rugi kalau US tak join, tuuu sebab PM Lee mereka kecewa sangat mengalahkan Japan, dah terhidu duit nak mari tapi US backout...

mziskandar

Latest tppa doc dah ada online ke blom?

pyropura

Hamdalah,berita baek nih, rakyat bakal dapat sadin pree, tak perlu lagi rebut2 beli sadin doposen.... rejeki niyy @rashiman @tobby @silencekiller

pyropura

iloveselangor replied at 10-3-2018 08:31 PM
USA tak join eh....so ringgit boleh kalahkan USD tak ni?

Yg pasti jibby paling gumbira, sebab rega Quinoa akan jadi murah, sebab Peru pun join kan

umbut

Walau x berapa faham bab ekonomi ni.. kalau positive impact buat negara.. syukurlah

dcruins

deal teruk ke atau memang US Dollar dah terlalu kuat bertahun-tahun, automatik member lain yg tak guna Dollar lebih ada advantage......

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https://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/25/trump-says-he-would-reconsider-trans-pacific-partnership-trade-deal.html


quote,

President Donald Trump told CNBC on Thursday that he would reconsider the massive Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal if the United States could strike a "substantially better" agreement. But it's almost certainly too late for the U.S. to negotiate a new deal.

"I would do TPP if we were able tmaa substantially better deal. The deal was terrible, the way it was structured was terrible. If we did a substantially better deal, I would be open to TPP," he said in an exclusive interview at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.

dcruins

tahun 2016, Canada pun rupa nyerrr trade deficit lebih kurang $1.8 billion dengan Malaysia, lagi banyak mereka import dari Malaysia banding export...
hmmmm, lebih kurang macam US jerrr apa yg diimport Canada ni.....

https://lop.parl.ca/Content/LOP/ResearchPublications/2013-61-e.htm

iloveselangor

pyropura replied at 11-3-2018 01:41 AM
Yg pasti jibby paling gumbira, sebab rega Quinoa akan jadi murah, sebab Peru pun join kan

I pon nak rasa jugak quinoa tu camne....i suka tempe

dcruins

import minyak sawit Canada pun meningkat tajam sejak tahun 2000, tapi semakin menurun lepas krisis ekonomi 2008....

https://www.indexmundi.com/agriculture/?country=ca&commodity=palm-oil&graph=imports

bangcak

untung la presiden parti hasad perkauman yg beli boieng dgn duit kwsp rakyat.
sbb ikut perjanjian tppa, segalanya jadik murah

dcruins

Potensi export market  kiterrr tambah 500 juta orang lagi...

Tak hairan kalau size GDP kiterrrr melepasi RM2 trillion 5-6 tahun ke depan,tahun 2017 jerrr RM1.35 trillion dah....

dcruins

Kalau ada yg lagi healthy dari Quinoa, bagi jerrrr Najib makan, dia nyerrrr gomen nyerrr policy sampai market kiterrrr size dia mencanak sampai RM1.35 trillion tahun 2017, dengan bertambah lagi potensi market kiterrr sebanyak 500 juta nyawa, beratus billion lagi bakal bertambah.....

AHMADVW

Najib dh berjanji sehidup semati dpn donald duck, ckp will strengthen US economy, kor@ng apa taw, hannat